Iâve got to admit, my last statement was clearly an overstatement. However, in the start-up scene, winning big is predominantly attributed to how successful businesses were created as a result of growing an enterprise through series of fundraising activities until it eventually goes public (IPO).
For the businesses you have listed:-
-
Kalahari â was a complete failure.
-
Privateproperty.com.ng â is still in the market. There is no difference between Tolet.com.ng and PrivateProperty. I donât think PrivateProperty was acquired. If it was then I donât think the founder of PrivateProperty made a substantial amount of money from its acquisition.
-
Nairalist was offered a substantial amount by DealFish. No one knows exactly what happened behind the scene but right now, Nairalist is no longer functional.
-
OLX didnât come fresh. DealFish was one the biggest classified Marketplace in Nigeria prior to OLX. OLX had to acquire DealFish in order to gain the market share. A lot other came in i.e. Google Trader (closed shop within a year or two, TradeStable e.t.c)
-
I know a lot of people wouldnât believe this. But in my opinion, I donât think OLX is profitable in Nigeria yet. Over time they will, if no classified business enters the market (JiJi and Jumia are good candidates)
In addition, like you clearly mentioned in your examples:
Google came as a search engine but it was creatively developed into an Advertising platform. Google was the first to create an integrated search platform that enables you to make money through independent media publishing. This was the killer value proposition â everyone wanted to make money.
While MySpace and Hi5 opened up their social network platform (to anyone including spammers), Facebook redefined social networking through exclusivity. Thatâs innovation â everyone liked privacy.
The truth is (Tech) investment is cyclic. Itâs all about sharing a 360-degree market size. In most cases, the first mover of any good business idea is always going to be the biggest winner. (even outside tech, there is Dangote Cement as a case study e.t.c) Of course, we have seen extremely rare cases where businesses started really late and were still able to take a larger portion of the market share without acquisition. Nonetheless, it will take exceptional innovation to enter a market (which time has gone) and still make substantial returns on investment.
On a general note: so what exactly is my point?
I donât mean to analyse or criticise any business that raises fund. I am a tech generalist, analyst and a business consultant. I have analysed a lot of tech businesses. I also own a platform that supports SMES businesses in Nigeria. I have friends across the globe (especially in England) that work in Hedge Funds and a big network of the âso-calledâ billionaires (and I was not born into affluence - far from it). I am always on the lookout for good ideas that have the potential to make a significant amount of returns. Most importantly, innovative ideas (replication of a successful business model is very expensive to fund - and I am never interested).
I am going to be very hash. Please permit me to express my rants for this time. We have to send the right message to upcoming entrepreneurs â sigh!
When I analyzed Tolet.com.ng funding statement, I didnât find anything exciting about its prospect. To build better-classified technology and expand (possibly across Nigeria and Africa?) â Whatever form it comes, a classified business model is outdated - especially for a real estate commission based model. The commission received isnât reoccurring. It will take same human efforts to win the next commission. Unlike hotel listing, a commission can be made on all listed hotel rooms over and over again. Renting a house or buying a property is a one-time event. Some people live in the same apartment for 20 years. You are better off working as an independent estate agent. These guys make huge money and they have no one to report to other than their partners. Tech-wise, there is no real advantage over a potential competitor even if you invest crazily. It will take a substantial amount of time to make this model self-sustainable - for the public offering. Raising funds through series wonât help. It is slaveryâŚ
So basically you facilitated:
$8M dollars over a 4 year period, at 50% share commission with estate agents that earn 5% commission on every sale completed â that is poor performance.
Conservatively, you generated over $200,000 with an estimated 25% for operations and logistics which gave you a total turnover of $150,000 + other revenue sources i.e. Google Ads.
A smart graduate of a reputable university in Nigeria and I believe a smart entrepreneur like you are, will make at least $12000 - $18000 per annum working for a good organisation that develops Nigeria. If you decide to go solo: using the same platform, a solo estate agent can make more money living on private gigs and Google Ads. A lot of independent entrepreneurs make constant income without raising any seed money and those that did raise created things that could be sold to investors.
What were you doing with your SEED money after 3 years? Paying salaries?
With $230K, you should be disruptive. Period! You should have created jobs, employ people and share a better success story. Otherwise, you should send the message clearly.
You raised $1.2M in a very bad economy. At the current climate, the NPV for $1.2M is probably worth $4M. With an estimated growth rate of 10%, 15% maybe 20% IRR, inflation e.t.c it is still a bad business if all your money will be made in Naira. What additional value can you create within 12 â 18 months on a commission based classified business that will give a good realistic return on investment?
Why didnât you just sell? Scared, worried about failure? OLX is not even a publicly traded company yet. You have got to be innovative. AirBnB took a piece among all the categories in a classified business to create a multi-billion market starting with just a $20K seed fund.
Generally, a lot of entrepreneurs think money is the reason why things are not moving. I donât think so. While I was on ground, I tried almost 3 businesses and I failed. Money was not the problem. I had people that believed and wanted to support me, but my analysis didnât give a good sign. I failed. Period! (Perhaps, the system and environment were a big factor that contributed, but the bottom line is I failed). If you want to make big money through entrepreneurship especially in Nigeria, then you will have to strive to become the first mover of a good business opportunity. You can achieve this by replicating or redefining a successful business model (proven and tested) in a different market or by developing a novel idea that creates value to anyone regardless of the social economic status. iRoko is a very good business model. FlutterWave payment infrastructure is an exciting opportunity- they serve commoners, even the âlowestâ class citizens.
The only fund required achieving this is a seed-fund. Typically, a Seed Fund is used to test the validity of a business model, transfer or share risk. It is not meant to buy new company cars, rent apartments or pay salary. Unless you see the possibility of a business going public (this is very important), you have no business raising series A, B or C funding. Itâs the biggest myth. The truth about raising funds is that you will never stop raising funds. The more funds you raised, the more equity you give out. Even if you are creating value, very soon board members will buy you out because your equity has no weight. (Even worse when you are 4 in number). In fact, it is better to remain a solo entrepreneur and earn money through Google cheques before you give the active part of your life away.
-End of Rants -
This is why I am excited about what you guys hope to bring to the market. I know someone among the team would read this, think and re-strategize on how to spend the million. Perhaps, you could provide a group driven real estate crowdfunding platform, build affordable homes on behalf of investors, assist low-income earners in making affordable living in Lagos State, wildcardâŚmake letting of apartments a month to month affair with online billing system and real-time reservation of apartments. Instead of expanding a crowded classified market â disrupt, focus on innovation.
I canât believe what I just did 